Subset threshold autoregression

We develop in this paper an efficient way to select the best subset threshold autoregressive model. The proposed method uses a stochastic search idea. Differing from most conventional approaches, our method does not require us to fix the delay or the threshold parameters in advance. By adopting the Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques, we can identify the best subset model from a very large of number of possible models, and at the same time estimate the unknown parameters. A simulation experiment shows that the method is very effective. In its application to the US unemployment rate, the stochastic search method successfully selects lag one as the time delay and five best models from more than 4000 choices. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

西藏公务员工作满意度调查与分析

通过对西藏公务员工作满意度的调查,分析影响西藏公务员工作满意度的主要因素以及工作满意度体现在人口统计变量上的差异,并对此提出相应的对策建议。     

太中银线吕梁段方案研究

文章以太中银线吕梁段方案为例,分析了影响线路方案的主要因素,强调了线路选线过程中的主要技术标准以及与地方规划协调的重要性。     

导数在求方程重根中的应用

用导数的方法，给出了多元多项式具有重因式、能因式分解的必要条件和操作步骤，以及判断方程是否为重根的充分条件。并且，提供了中学教学中常见的二次六项式能否进行因式分解的条件。     

情感因素在外语教学中的重要作用

英语教学要注意学生的情感因素，主要包括自尊、抑制、焦虑和学习动机，以加强英语教学效果。     

空气喷射对旋转圆筒表面传质特性的影响

通过对旋转雷诺数R，喷射雷诺数Rej，喷嘴宽度和圆筒直径比B／d，喷射距离与喷嘴宽度之比L／B等影响旋转圆筒表面传质特性参数的实验研究，发现：在空气喷射作用下，由旋转产生的第一临界点消失，只存在第二临界点；平均舍伍德数Sh与Rej，B／d和L／B之间的关联式为Sh=0．515Re^2/3（B／d）^0.3（L／B）^0.1；空气喷射对圆筒表面传质的强化作用大于旋转的作用．     

NH_4HCO_3作沉淀剂制备超细Ce-Zr-O粉末的研究

为寻求简便、合理的合成超细粉体的方法,利用NH4HCO3 作沉淀剂,通过考察料液配比、加料速度、升温速度等实验因素,得到了简单的合成超细 Ce Zr O粉末的工艺,并利用比表面积测定仪、激光粒度仪、XRD、Raman等仪器对相关产物进行了表征.结果表明:利用简单工艺合成的超细 Ce Zr O粉末具有中位粒径为0.30μm、比表面积为21.2 m2/g、悬浮性大于30 min、松装密度小于 1 g/cm3等性能,产物具有 CaF2 型的空间结构.     

贵州省不同类型自然保护地空间分异及其影响因素

受自然与社会因素的影响,不同类型自然保护地的空间分异存在较大的差异.研究针对贵州省内的自然保护区、森林公园、湿地公园和风景名胜区等4类自然保护地,综合运用最邻近点指数、地理集中指数、核密度和地理探测器模型对其空间分异特征进行分析,并探讨其影响因素.结果表明：自然保护区与其余3种自然保护地在数量的空间分异特征上具有明显差异,但4种自然保护地在面积的空间分异特征上均表现出离散化分布的特征,具有较高的相似性.相同影响因素的解释力在不同类型的自然保护地上差异较大,在数量上主要影响因素呈现出趋异性,而面积上主要影响因素则呈现出趋同性.任意2个影响因素交互后其解释力均增强,交互的特征呈多维度复合影响的态势.不同类型自然保护地功能定位的差别是其主要影响因素呈现出趋异性和趋同性的主要原因.     

Sylvester矩阵方程的改进IO迭代算法

通过对Sylvester矩阵方程的理论分析,可知IO迭代算法中迭代矩阵的谱半径随内迭代次数的增大而减小,更新了IO迭代算法中内迭代次数的选择方法,并证明了该算法收敛性与初始矩阵无关。Sylvester矩阵在满足一些特定条件下,为了进一步提高收敛速度,可通过选择适当的相关参数,使得IO迭代算法有较好的收敛速度且比Smith算法的迭代次数明显减少。     

Thrombospondin co-localises with TGFβ and IGF-I in the extracellular matrix of human osteoblast-like cells and is modulated by 17β estradiol

Thrombospondin (TSP) is a multifunctional glycoprotein which is synthesised by several cell types including osteoblasts, and incorporated into the extracellular matrix (ECM) of these cells. The function and regulation of TSP in bone is not clear. In this study, using a long term culture model of human osteoblast-like cells, we examined the distribution of TSP in the ECM and its modulation by added estradiol. In this model the osteoblast-like cells form a regular multilayer which continues to increase in depth up to 50 days post confluence. In the ECM of these cultures and in 19-week fetal bone, the bone markers osteocalcin and alkaline phosphatase were diffusely distributed in the matrix. In contrast, labelling for TSP was concentrated, confined to the banded collagen and its immediately adjacent ECM. This pattern of labelling resembled that of the growth factors transforming growth factor-I (TGF), and insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I), with which TSP label co-localised. Labelling intensities were comparable between fetal bone and the in vitro material for TSP, TGF and IGF-I. TSP label was present by 10 days post confluence, reached a maximum by 20 days, and declined slowly thereafter, a time course which was similar to that of IGF-I. Incubation of osteoblast-like cell cultures with 17 estradiol resulted in an increase in multilayer depth and a maximal 3-fold increase in TSP labeling at 30 days as well as approximately 2-fold increases for TGF and IGF-I. The dose-response relationship for these responses to estradiol treatment was biphasic with maximal increases at 10^–10 M–10^–11 M of added estradiol. Treatment with 17 estradiol produced labelling intensities that were not significantly different from controls. Studies with other cell types have suggested that TSP may be involved in modulation of growth factor activity. The similarities between TSP, TGF and IGF-I, in terms of their distribution and regulation by 17 estradiol treatment, may indicate a role for TSP in modulating bone cell proliferation and function through interaction with local growth factors.